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No. 1308Problem statementSpace and research

AI-Based Forecast Bust Detection for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts

Source

Source summary

The forecast-bust detector should compare current NWP patterns with historical errors to identify where forecasts may be unreliable. Requested outputs are regional confidence maps for days 1–10, probabilities of large errors, explanations of meteorological drivers and a prototype dashboard or API. It assesses forecast uncertainty rather than replacing uncertainty with a guaranteed corrected forecast.